Monday, February 11, 2013

Blue Nile Earnings Are on Deck

Blue Nile (Nasdaq: NILE  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 12. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Blue Nile's revenues will grow 29.4% and EPS will grow 56.7%.

The average estimate for revenue is $145.3 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.47.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Blue Nile logged revenue of $89.8 million. GAAP reported sales were 20% higher than the prior-year quarter's $75.0 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $0.14. GAAP EPS of $0.14 for Q3 were 7.7% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.13 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 18.8%, 100 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 3.0%, 80 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 1.9%, 60 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $409.2 million. The average EPS estimate is $0.71.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 635 members out of 834 rating the stock outperform, and 199 members rating it underperform. Among 272 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 212 give Blue Nile a green thumbs-up, and 60 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Blue Nile is hold, with an average price target of $34.44.

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